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RE: Atkins - Scott - Judgement

Subject: RE: Atkins - Scott - Judgement
From: Gordon Mann
Date: Aug 22 2008 20:17:46
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Good day, in reading the discussion, I think we need to separate the points:

One, the judge may have taken a dislike to an expert witness, but in my 
review, he clearly stated what he saw as contradictions and inconsistencies, 
if true.  That should be a lesson to us in our reports and testimony.  Know 
our assignment and role.  I have been deposed prior to cases and fortunately 
was able to review my deposition prior to further questioning to make sure I 
stated my answers well, or prior to cross examination have corrected the 
statement listed in the deposition. This is an ongoing study and practice to 
remain credible.

Two, With regard to the pre-determined knowing if something should happen or 
recording inspections - in cities in the states, we need to be able to verify 
our inspections and our call logs and work records are public information.  I 
have had to show that I did not have previous notice or was not called to 
look at a site prior to an incident.  In the same manner, if a location was a 
busy place, there is a higher duty to inspect and an expectation that 
"inviting" the public to a space - the space should be free of high risk or 
even hazards.

We need to be thoughtful about how we speak of hazards, risk, and failures.  
We can manage risk, we have to mitigate hazards, and we need to be able to 
identify potential failures and provide appropriate mitigation where 
possible.  The use, activity, and invitation to a site may require a higher 
standard of care and duty.  Fortunately, we have the ability to show what we 
could have seen from the outside based on our experiences with trees, which 
supports Scott's discussion about what we should have known about and expect.

The discussion of how frequent an inspection needs to be and how well it is 
documented will be discussions courts and settlements help shape... A 
standard by an industry should help us perform our work to an accepted 
practice and that should have some weight in a decision.

Gordon


-----Original Message-----
From: dscottcul@xxxx.net [mailto:dscottcul@xxxx.net]
Sent: Fri 8/22/2008 5:37 AM
To: UK Tree Care
Subject: Re: Atkins - Scott - Judgement
 
______________________________________________________________________
             Career opportunities with Tim Moya Associates

         SENIOR ARBORICULTURAL CONSULTANT SALARY GBP 33,158- GBP 38,791 
            ARBORICULTURAL CONSULTANT SALARY GBP 25,197 - GBP 30,657 

       Please visit our website, give us a call or send in your CV
                   www.tma-consultants.co.uk/jobs.php
______________________________________________________________________



 SC insertions follow...
 -------------- Original message from Simon Pryce Arboriculture 
<simon@xxxxxxxxxxx.co.uk>: 
I haven't checked a dictionary, but as I see it the words have distinct 
meanings, or at least shades of meaning, although they are often mixed.

If something is foreseeable it means that it is likely to happen or 
there is a possiblity of it happening at some point in the future, but 
you can't say when, how etc.  For it to be predictable you need to be 
able to say with reasonable certainty when it will happen.  I think 
that's the point Chris was making earlier - if you buy a ticket its 
foreseeable that you can win the lottery but, even though the odds are 
known, its not predictable.

Most tree related events are foreseeable, 

SC  Let's take a closer look at that.  If we do say "if you buy a ticket its 
foreseeable that you can win the lottery" that is the same as saying it is 
foreseeable that EVERY tree may fail. Somewhere in the literature there is a 
statement that it is a function of the laws of thermodynamics that every tree 
will fail... even if it is after it dies. And negligence does not attach to 
every tree.  I think the legal phrase is "reasonably foreseeable."  Or 
"unreasonable risk."  So it becomes "how foreseeable?"  We also see phrases 
like "imminent risk."  The degree to which that narrower foreseeability is 
the same as predictability is a matter of a) how imminent we make the 
foreseeability or b) how wide or narrow the prediction interval is.  If both 
are very specifc the terms converge.  Otherwise they don't.  In everyday, 
practical terms, predictability is "it will fail Tuesday afternoon at 3," or 
"it will fail in the next wind >30mph."  Forseeability is "it is very likely 
that it will fail in less than extraordinary conditions in the near term and 
if it does it is very likely someone's head will be bashed."  We might go 
back to Mike's definition of the tree that's obviously "fecked."  But that's 
still not prediction.  I drive by trees every day that have been "fecked" for 
years and they are still standing there.

SC
  

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